This January has been four weeks of heartbreak for Huskies fans, and probably the most challenging month the program has experienced since the final years of Kevin Ollie’s tenure. At this time last month, fans were rightfully believing UConn was the best team in the nation and would win the Big East. Now, the Huskies are 5-6 in conference play after Wednesday’s home loss to Xavier, and both Husky nation and the wider college basketball fanbase are wondering if the team is capable of pulling itself together in February, or will instead stumble into the conference and NCAA tournaments.
Together with an electric crowd, I got to see UConn up close at both its best and worst in at Gampel Wednesday against Xavier in an 82-79 loss. In the first half which ended with UConn down 15 points, I saw a team that is a mess both offensively and especially defensively. This collection of players is incapable of both stopping opponents one-on-one and making high-quality shots, and does not communicate well with one another on either end of the floor. In the second half, the Huskies became a completely different team. They constantly both attacked the basket and scored on layups and free throws, while hitting both open and challenging perimeter shots. On defense, they used both multiple zones and constant ball pressure to force turnovers and generally just make a formidable Musketeers offense uncomfortable (and yet they still scored more points in the second half). As a result, UConn came roaring back into the game and almost made an unforgettable comeback. It cut the deficit to one multiple times, but a few costly mistakes on multiple ends in the final moments thwarted a comeback, resulting in the Huskies falling to 5-6 in the Big East and still searching for answers on how to beat the best teams in the conference.
It was very sad to see UConn lose in person at Gampel, especially sense you could sense how eager the fans were to see the Huskies get a win they desperately needed. Still , I loved the experience and will remember the game for a long time. Despite losing to Xavier, there were a few positives both the team and the fans could take from the games, which they can hopefully learn from and use to get back on track in February. At the same time, there were weaknesses that continued to present, which UConn needs to mitigate and solve if it wants to be a threat in March. Below, I go into detail about both some positive and negative observations I took from the game.
The Positives
- Jordan Hawkins Continues to Emerge as a Star
During the preseason, there was a lot of talk about how Hawkins had significantly improved as an offensive player and could emerge as one of the best scorers in the Big East. In non-conference play and the early portion of the Big East schedule, Hawkins was a reliable scorer but only occasionally took over games. Over the last four games however, Hawkins has been the Huskies best player and carried the team even when he has gotten very little help. The sophomore has scored 20 or more points three times and averaged 23 while shooting 42 % from three and over 53% overall, even as the team has gone 1-3.
Hawkins was sublime against Xavier in the second half after a quiet start, and finished with 28 points while shooting 5-10 from beyond the arc and making all seven of his free throws. Despite the Musketeers defense keying in on him, Hawkins was able to get free off screens and knock down huge 3-pointers, even with defenders draped over him several times. He also continued his recent habit of attacking the basket when the opportunity arose. Hawkins was able to make some challenging layups and consistently get himself to the charity stripe. He single-handedly kickstarted the UConn offense and got the team and the crowd back into the game, and was the best player on the court. It’s just a shame that his effort couldn’t be rewarded with a comeback win.
Besides his scoring, Hawkins has visibly taken on a bigger leadership role in the last month, while continuing to be a solid rebounder and defender. Hawkins still can improve his ball handling (he had three turnovers against Xavier) and tighten up his defense, but if he continues to play at this level than he will be in position to be drafted high in the first round of the NBA draft if he chooses to leave UConn after the season. Hawkins is demonstrating that he is capable of leading the Huskies on a possible March Madness run, something no other Husky is doing right now. Let’s just hope the team gets back on track and becomes capable of going on such a run.
- Tristen Newton Seems to be Turning a Corner on Offense
For much of the Big East schedule, Newton has been a disappointment at point guard. The senior transfer, whom was one of the best offensive players in the American Athletic Conference at East Carolina last season at shooting guard, was playing extremely passively on offense earlier this month and appeared uncomfortable running the offense. Yes, Newton had been inconsistent on offense the entire season, but gone was the player early in the season whom constantly attacked the basket and got to the free throw line, was a credible 3-point threat, and handled the ball effectively. In addition to Newton’s lack of aggressiveness, he appeared to struggle with sharing the responsibility of running the offense alongside Andre Jackson, who was injured and then coming off the bench when Newton got off to a strong start on the season. Combine Newton’s poor offensive play with an inconsistent performance on defense, and UConn fans had a legitimate gripe with the big-time transfer.
In the two games before the contest against Xavier (at Seton Hall and home against Butler), Newton finally started to demonstrate the aggressiveness Dan Hurley was looking for. He scored 11 points in both games while going a combined 11-12 at the free throw line, and had a combined six assists (unfortunately, Newton also committed five turnovers). Amazingly, this was the first time he had scored in double figures in consecutive games for the first time all season. Newton’s awakening from his slumbers set the stage for a very strong performance against the Musketeers.
Newton gave his all against Xavier offensively. He was UConn’s best player in the first half while almost everyone else was struggling, and continued to attack the rim in the second half while also hitting two timely treys. Newton finished with 23 points, tying a season high, and went 6-12 from the field and 9-11 on free throws. These were the most field goals Newton had drained in a game for the Huskies. While Newton made some poor decisions with his passing, committing five turnovers, he did a very strong job of moving the ball and pushing the tempo, especially in the second half, while playing with high intensity throughout. Newton recognized he needed to step up with Andre Jackson and the other guards besides Hawkins struggling, and he helped UConn right the ship in the second half and put Xavier’s defense on its heels in the second half. It may not have been quite good enough for a win, but Newton helped demonstrate what the team’s offense needs to do if the Huskies are going to go on a winning streak.
Hopefully, Newton’s memorable performance Wednesday can continue to be built upon. Newton’s better at earning free throws than almost anyone in college basketball, and if he can sustain his improved shooting and tighten up his ball handling and defense, than UConn may finally have the versatile player they thought they were getting out of the transfer portal. Newton may not be able to fit the role of a traditional point guard, but if he continues to play to his strengths and emerge as a leader, it will take a huge load off of Jackson, Adama Sanogo, and the rest of the team’s guards. I think that Newton can sustain this level of play and Dan Hurley can push him effectively. As a result, the Huskies will improve in February and hopefully when it matters most in March.
- The Use of Zones and Heightened Pressure on Defense Caused Xavier to be Less Efficient in the Second Half
Even as UConn’s man-to-man defense has sucked and been extremely foul-prone for the last month, particularly when guarding players that are attacking the paint, Dan Hurley has been extremely reluctant to make any adjustments, whether that is playing zone or planning Sanogo and Donavon Clinigan together. This has resulted in the team allowing opponents to come back and win multiple games, and the players to ultimately lose confidence on both ends. After his defense’s ugly performance in the first half against Xavier however, Hurley finally took the plunge and made significant defensive adjustments in the second half, which were responsible for the Huskies nearly making an incredible comeback. It may have taken way too long to happen, but Hurley’s flexibility on the defensive end may be a great sign going forward.
While UConn was more likely to struggle against defending Xavier’s elite offense playing man-to-man, it’s poor defense in the first half was very predictable. The Musketeers jumped out to a 9-0 lead and were ahead by double digits for almost the entire half, and ultimately went into the break shooting 50% and up 2-24. The Huskies got beat off the dribble constantly and allowed many open layups, and did a poor job of defending the rim. They also surprisingly struggled to stop Xavier beyond the arc, allowing several open threes as players did a poor job of closing out. Alex Karaban, Jackson and Sanogo especially struggled on defense, with Jackson continuing his habit of allowing players to below by him and then picking up ticky-tack fouls going for steals.
As fans are well aware of, Hurley isn’t a coach who makes quick adjustments or inclined to change up his defense. But with Xavier again shredding UConn on that end, he finally decided he had no choice but to switch up to a zone. Bu alternating between 1-3-1 and 2-3 zones and pressuring the Musketeers full-court, the Huskies were able to regularly force turnovers and offensive fouls and caused them to look discombobulated, especially as the half wore on. Jackson was especially effective on defense with these adjustments, as they allowed him to use his athleticism to hound defenders. UConn’s aggressive defensive certainly got the crowd into the game, and it also allowed the offense to get more fastbreak opportunities and open shots everywhere on the floor.
I strongly feel that if the Huskies hadn’t adjusted on defense, it would have easily lost by double digits. Playing zone and upping their ball pressure made the team much better on both ends of the floor, and allowed it to be in position to possibly win. While UConn should be much more effective playing man-to-man in the next two games at DePaul and Georgetown, Hurley absolutely should continue to experiment with playing zone and pressuring ballhandlers in half-court sets for a few minutes. He could possibly even play Sanogo and Clinigan together and see how effective they are on both ends. The same goes for experimenting in practice. By doing all this, UConn can be in better position to slow down Marquette’s elite offense and earn a huge home win next Tuesday.
- The Crowd Was Outstanding
The XL Center can be an intimidating environment for opposing players, as it can host more fans. However, it cannot compare to Gampel Pavilion, especially when it is sold out and many students show up. The crowd was charged from the opening tip, and were able to still maintain solid energy throughout the first half even as UConn played terribly. However, it was the second half when the energy ramped up. As the Huskies began to force turnovers and Hawkins caught fire, the crowd noise became deafening. They stayed standing throughout the remainder of the game, and all this excitement helped rattle the Xavier players and cause timeouts. Even when UConn couldn’t get over the hump and take the lead in the final minutes of the game, the crowd continued to provide players encouragement. The fan’s excitement was infectious to experience in person, and heartwarming to see considering how much the team has been struggling. Let’s hope the Huskies can turn things around and reward the fanbase for its support.
The Negatives
- The Poor Play from the Bench, Karaban and Jackson
UConn’s bench play has been weak for much of the Big East schedule after being a huge strength during the nonconference schedule, and it was no different against Xavier. The quartet of Naheim Alleyne, Hassan Diarra, Clinigan and Joey Calcaterra scored just six points and grabbed three rebounds in 35 minutes while shooting 2-9 and recording no assists. Calcaterra and Alleyne largely couldn’t hit the broad side of a barn, going 1-6 from three. Clinigan had maybe his worst game of the season, missing two crucial free throws and picking up two ugly fouls in just seven minutes. His struggles forced Sanogo to play 33 minutes. None of the other bench guys particularly distinguished themselves defensively, either.
Karaban’s struggles weren’t a huge surprise on defense. He was facing a pair of strong big men in Zach Freemantle and Jerome Hunter who are both bigger and stronger than the freshman. Still, Karaban did not box out great and grabbed just three rebounds in 35 minutes. He was mostly MIA on offense, scoring just five points with only one assist and missing two of three 3-pointers. The freshman will bounce back offensively, but he needs to be more aggressive and badly get stronger in the offseason. It will be a huge help when Samson Johnson fully returns from injury and takes some of those minutes.
While Karaban’s inconsistency is to be expected from a freshman, Andre Jackson’s is much more concerning. The junior ability to score just enough and keep defenses honest has completely evaporated in January (just under five points per game on 30% shooting overall and under 25% from deep). Jackson, who started Wednesday’s game by missing his first seven shots and was 3-12 overall, still rarely scores on anything more than dunks, floaters or open 3-pointers. Worse, Jackson’s passing and decision-making has gone down as the Huskies have floundered. He has averaged nearly two turnovers per game in January and made crucial ones against Seton Hall and Marquette. Jackson’s assist numbers have gone down (he had two against Xavier , and he is regularly playing out of control and asking teammates to make plays they are incapable of doing. For example, in the second half Jackson threw an alley-oop pass to Sanogo on a fastbreak, even though Sanogo doesn’t have the vertical left to finish that play, missed an open dunk and putback, and was called for a controversial goaltend which he also fouled on, leading to a 3-point play which halted a UConn run. And in addition to Jackson’s offensive struggles, I have also talked about the overaggressive defense which has regularly put the junior captain in foul trouble, and Jackson’s inconsistency with keeping players from driving by him.
While other players haven’t been great lately Jackson’s decline has hurt the Huskies very badly. His play has declined across the board, as well as his leadership and confidence in games. Jackson will have to play more under control on offense while figuring out where he can best contribute and reestablish his identity as a lockdown defender. His level of play took a jump around this time last year. If Jackson can do that again, it will take pressure off of the Huskies stars and allow the team to be a big threat again both in the conference and especially nationally.
- The Huskies Yet Again Played a Bad Half, and Made Critical Mistakes in the Final Minutes
In all of UConn’s six losses, a big theme is the team not playing competitively for all 40 minutes. Usually this has been the case in the second half, as the team was either up or tied at halftime in the first five losses. Wednesday’s game was a big reversal, with UConn playing its worth first half of the season by far. It looked all out of sorts on both ends, and Dan Hurley took way too long to call timeouts and refused to change up his defense despite his players getting burned on that end. Whether the team was not well-prepared enough or tin a state of shock after falling behind by so much can be debated, but either way the opening 20 minutes were an embarrassment. There is no good reason for the Huskies to put together a full game and make the changes to ensure they do.
By falling behind by 15 at halftime, the Huskies had almost no margin for error during their comeback. After they cut the deficit to a basket in the final minutes multiple times, errors raised their ugly heads. First, Newton was called for an offensive foul when driving to the basket along the right baseline with 4:03 remaining and the score 73-72, with the officials ruling that he pushed off. Then with score 78-77, Hawkins slipped on a drive and lost the ball before fouling two minutes later. After a layup by Jack Nunge, Newton had a very similar turnover a minute later. UConn was able to force a turnover on the next play, but Dan Hurley than called a timeout with 20 seconds left as Hawkins drained a jumper, wiping away the basket. Xavier called a timeout 11 seconds later with the same score to give the Huskies a chance to set up a final scoring play, but whatever was drawn up was blown up by excellent Musketeers defense. Desmond Claude bailed them out when he fouled Newton with two seconds left, but he unfortunately made the second free throw he was trying to miss, depriving the team’s bigs any chance at scoring on a putback. In a vacuum, most of these errors were understandable considering how desperate the team was playing and their urgency to finally take the lead. However, they added up, and UConn was handed its second consecutive loss by a basket.
Throughout Hurley’s tenure in Storrs, UConn has been sadly famous for losing close games to good teams again and again. It looked like things may finally change after the 14-0 start, but so far that has proven to be just a mirage. To put it bluntly, UConn needs to learn how to execute down the stretch and make winning plays in close games, and fast. Otherwise, it is not going far in tournament play yet again, and Hurley’s seat will start to get warm.
- A lack of Fundamentals and Smarts When Playing Man-to-Man Defense
I’ve alluded to the poor defense in the first half throughout this article, but I had to devote an individual section to it considering just how lousy the D was. Among other things, it featured:
- Doing a terrible job of limitingdribble penetration, leading to either quality layups or open baskets for bigs or kickouts to the perimeter for open shots
- Poor help defense and communication among players, helping lead to Xavier foul shots as well
- Poor rim protection, particularly by Sanogo
- A loss of confidence by the entire team, which carried over onto the offensive end.
Almost all defenses would initially struggle to stop the Musketeers, and their ball movement and ability to make tough shots was remarkable to see in person. Still, there is no excuse for UConn’s man defense to be this bad against every strong opponent. Even if playing zone is somewhat effective, you can’t do that for 40 minutes against any opponent. I hope that the Huskies worked a lot on improving their defense in every facet of the game during their 6-day layoff between games, and that it will pay dividends immediately.
- Dan Hurley needs to be better
Hurley is a solid coach and a great program-builder and recruiter. Players and recruits seem to love competing for him and Hurley’s high-energy style. That being said, at some point Hurley needs to figure out the issues with this team and start beating tough opponents so the players are ready for March Madness and UConn gets a good seed. He needs to make quicker adjustments, especially in-game, be willing to remove players for a short time if they are not executing, and just be more flexible on both ends of the floor. Hurley prides himself at being a defensive coach, and it’s up to him to figure out a way to improve the Huskies man defense and put players in position to succeed. Ditto on the offensive end, especially with getting more out of the bench players. Starting the season so well was thrilling, and this is probably Hurley’s most talented team at Storrs on paper. But it ultimately doesn’t matter if the team isn’t mentally tough and the program fails to go on a tournament run.